Astral Codex Ten | Scott Alexander | Substack

Desperately Trying To Fathom The Coffeepocalypse Argument

1 hr ago

Contra Hanson On Medical Effectiveness

Apr 24

Open Thread 326

Apr 22

ACX Survey Results 2024

Apr 19

Ye Olde Bay Area House Party

Apr 18

Updates on Lumina Probiotic

Apr 16

Open Thread 325

Apr 15

ACX Classifieds 4/24

Apr 11

Astral Codex Ten

Astral Codex Ten

P(A|B) = [P(A)*P(B|A)]/P(B), all the rest is commentary.

Recommendations

Mr. and Mrs. Psmith’s Bookshelf

Jane Psmith

Silver Bulletin

Nate Silver

Nils Wendel

The Intrinsic Perspective

Erik Hoel

Maxim Lott

Community

Blogroll

Marginal Revolution

Effective Altruism Forum

Astral Codex Ten

About Archive Recommendations Sitemap

#nojs-banner { position: fixed; bottom: 0; left: 0; padding: 16px 16px 16px 32px; width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; background: red; color: white; font-family: -apple-system, "Segoe UI", Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif, "Apple Color Emoji", "Segoe UI Emoji", "Segoe UI Symbol"; font-size: 13px; line-height: 13px; } #nojs-banner a { color: inherit; text-decoration: underline; } This site requires JavaScript to run correctly. Please turn on JavaScript or unblock scripts