Astral Codex Ten | Scott Alexander | Substack

Contra Hanson On Medical Effectiveness

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Open Thread 326

Apr 22

ACX Survey Results 2024

Apr 19

Ye Olde Bay Area House Party

Apr 18

Updates on Lumina Probiotic

Apr 16

Open Thread 325

Apr 15

ACX Classifieds 4/24

Apr 11

Highlights From The Comments On The Lab Leak Debate

Apr 9

Astral Codex Ten

Astral Codex Ten

P(A|B) = [P(A)*P(B|A)]/P(B), all the rest is commentary.

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